Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.006233 0.006945 0.007719 0.008626 0.009663 0.010816 0.012197
2025-06-08 0.004927 0.005858 0.006953 0.008345 0.010082 0.012196 0.014991
2025-06-15 0.004310 0.005349 0.006636 0.008366 0.010660 0.013641 0.017874
2025-06-22 0.003983 0.005120 0.006591 0.008663 0.011559 0.015541 0.021571
2025-06-29 0.003569 0.004716 0.006251 0.008496 0.011770 0.016488 0.024028
2025-07-06 0.003229 0.004370 0.005941 0.008316 0.011912 0.017316 0.026386
2025-07-13 0.002997 0.004145 0.005771 0.008305 0.012281 0.018503 0.029457
2025-07-20 0.002859 0.004039 0.005755 0.008513 0.012995 0.020302 0.033809
2025-07-27 0.002667 0.003836 0.005574 0.008440 0.013242 0.021350 0.036999
2025-08-03 0.002515 0.003679 0.005447 0.008434 0.013590 0.022601 0.040749
2025-08-10 0.002359 0.003503 0.005274 0.008333 0.013756 0.023539 0.044033
2025-08-17 0.002253 0.003397 0.005202 0.008393 0.014205 0.025042 0.048710
2025-08-24 0.002121 0.003245 0.005053 0.008320 0.014436 0.026222 0.053072
2025-08-31 0.001961 0.003039 0.004800 0.008046 0.014268 0.026608 0.055800
2025-09-07 0.001870 0.002939 0.004717 0.008066 0.014662 0.028186 0.061607
2025-09-14 0.001830 0.002922 0.004775 0.008350 0.015611 0.031073 0.071262
2025-09-21 0.001723 0.002783 0.004607 0.008190 0.015631 0.031926 0.075914
2025-09-28 0.001624 0.002650 0.004441 0.008018 0.015604 0.032666 0.080440
2025-10-05 0.001556 0.002568 0.004361 0.008008 0.015922 0.034259 0.087749
2025-10-12 0.001522 0.002544 0.004384 0.008206 0.016725 0.037150 0.099661
2025-10-19 0.001454 0.002455 0.004282 0.008137 0.016909 0.038522 0.107279
2025-10-26 0.001400 0.002388 0.004214 0.008131 0.017242 0.040334 0.116849
2025-11-02 0.001338 0.002303 0.004107 0.008035 0.017345 0.041546 0.124746